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Prompt#emerging-markets#geopolitical#risk#international
Emerging Market Investment Checklist
A structured checklist for evaluating additional risks when investing in emerging market companies — governance, currency, political, and liquidity risks.
by Capital Deck Team0 likes0 copies
Emerging Market Investment Checklist
Evaluate {COMPANY} ({TICKER}) as an emerging market investment in {COUNTRY}:
1. COUNTRY RISK ASSESSMENT
- Political stability: regime type, upcoming elections, policy predictability.
- Rule of law: contract enforcement, IP protection, judicial independence.
- Country credit rating and sovereign CDS spread trend.
2. CURRENCY RISK
- Local currency trend vs. USD over 1, 3, and 5 years.
- What % of revenue is USD/EUR-denominated vs. local currency?
- Does the company have natural hedges (export revenue, USD debt)?
- Central bank FX reserve adequacy (months of import cover).
3. CORPORATE GOVERNANCE & SHAREHOLDER RIGHTS
- Is this a state-owned enterprise (SOE) or private? SOE = political risk embedded.
- Dual-class shares, VIE structures (Chinese cos.), or complex holding structures?
- Minority shareholder protections: dividend payment history, related-party transactions.
- Auditor quality: Big 4 or local firm? Any audit qualifications?
4. REGULATORY & NATIONALIZATION RISK
- Is the industry subject to price controls, windfall taxes, or strategic asset classification?
- Any history of regulatory or political interference in this sector in this country?
- Sanctions risk: is the company or country on any watchlists?
5. LIQUIDITY & MARKET ACCESS RISK
- Average daily trading volume vs. your intended position size.
- Are foreign ownership limits close to their cap? Any restriction on repatriation of profits?
- What happens to your investment if capital controls are imposed?
6. VALUATION DISCOUNT JUSTIFICATION
- EM stocks typically trade at a discount to DM peers. Is the discount wide enough?
- Required discount to compensate for country + governance + currency risk.
7. VERDICT
- Invest / Watchlist / Avoid — with rationale.
- Maximum position size given the risk profile (% of portfolio).