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Prompt#options#flow#derivatives#sentiment
Options Flow Interpretation
Decode unusual options activity and flow to gauge institutional sentiment and identify directional bets ahead of catalysts.
by Capital Deck Team0 likes0 copies
Options Flow Interpretation
Interpret the options flow for {COMPANY} ({TICKER}):
1. UNUSUAL OPTIONS ACTIVITY SNAPSHOT
- Is today's options volume significantly above the 30-day average? By how much?
- Are calls or puts dominating the flow? Call/Put ratio vs. historical norm.
- Which strikes and expirations are seeing the most activity?
2. FLOW CLASSIFICATION
- Bullish signals: large call buying, put selling, call spread purchases.
- Bearish signals: large put buying, call selling, put spread purchases.
- Hedging vs. speculation: is the flow opening new positions or closing existing ones?
3. SMART MONEY INDICATORS
- Block trades (>$1M premium): direction and expiration.
- Any "sweeps" across multiple exchanges (urgency indicator)?
- Implied volatility (IV): rising IV on puts = fear; rising IV on calls = bullish speculation.
4. CATALYST CONTEXT
- Is there an upcoming earnings, product launch, regulatory decision, or M&A event?
- Is the options positioning consistent with a known upcoming catalyst?
- Options market-implied move for the next earnings event (straddle price / stock price).
5. LIMITATIONS & CAVEATS
- Options flow can reflect hedging by holders, not directional bets.
- Large single trades may be part of a complex multi-leg strategy.
- Always confirm with fundamental context before acting.
6. SIGNAL SUMMARY
- Net signal: Bullish / Bearish / Mixed / Neutral.
- Conviction level: High (multiple consistent signals) / Low (conflicting signals).
- One trade idea suggested by the flow (if actionable).